![]() ![]() Last week’s quake also “did not affect areas farther west favoured by foreign tourists, who have become one of Turkey’s most important sources of foreign exchange”, Wolfango Piccoli, an analyst at Teneo consultancy, said in a note. The economy quickly rebounded, however, growing by 1.5 percent of GDP in 2000 thanks to reconstruction efforts, the EBRD said. But that tremor hit the country’s industrial heartland - including economic powerhouse Istanbul. The Turkish economy weakened by around 0.5 to 1.0 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 1999. Mahmoud Mohieldin, an executive director at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), said the 7.8-magnitude tremor could hurt the economy less than a 7.6-magnitude quake in 1999, which claimed more than 17,000 lives.Īn IMF spokesperson later said Mohieldin was speaking in a private capacity and not representing the fund’s official view. – Better than 1999? -The quake also damaged energy facilities, infrastructure, transportation, irrigation and logistics, added Tamgac. The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organisation has warned of disruptions to basic food production in Turkey and Syria. The region is a global exporter of food such as apricots, she added, warning there could be a knock-on effect on prices. Unay Tamgac, associate professor of economics at Ankara’s TOBB ETU University, said the region creates 14.3 percent of Turkey’s total agriculture, fishing and forestry output. The area affected is one of Turkey’s least developed, contributing only nine percent to gross domestic product (GDP).īut Turkey’s agricultural production could take a hit. “The boost to output from reconstruction activities may largely offset the negative impact of the disruption to economic activity,” the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) said.įor the overall economy, at least, there are glimmers of hope. Should he find the cash, leaning heavily again on foreign donors, Erdogan will need to allocate much of it to the construction sector to rebuild parts of Turkey from the ground up.Īlthough contractors are now being blamed for following lax standards that allowed so many buildings to crumble, Erdogan relied on the sector to modernise much of the country with airports, roads and hospitals. ![]() – Reconstruction boost -With elections in mind, Erdogan has already promised to provide new homes to the millions affected within a year. Other experts’ estimates are more conservative, putting the total closer to $10 billion. Now, Erdogan must repair some $84.1 billion in quake damage, according to an estimate from a prominent business group. The central bank’s vanishing coffers have been replenished by assistance from Russia and oil-rich Gulf states, which has helped Turkey spend tens of billions of dollars propping up the lira in the past few years.īut economists believe that money is only sufficient to keep Turkey’s finances in order - and the troubled lira from collapsing - until the May polls. The problem for Erdogan, however, is that Turkey is very short of funds. That money will have to come on top of the billions of dollars in election promises that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has made in the run-up to crucial polls still tentatively planned for May 14.Īll this cash could turbo-charge consumer spending and industrial production - two key indicators of economic growth. Now, it must pour billions of dollars into rebuilding 11 southeastern provinces flattened by the February 6 tremor - the worst disaster of its post-Ottoman history. ISTANBUL, Turkey, Feb 19 – Turkey was already battling runaway inflation and relying on rich allies for funding to keep its economy afloat when a massive earthquake killed tens of thousands, razed entire cities and left millions needing urgent help. ![]()
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